Island games are the highlight of any NFL week for betting enthusiasts. As the industry continues to grow, some of the most discussed moments belong to single-game opportunities.
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As such, below is the only betting guide needed to unearth tons of expected value for each Sunday night contest throughout the 2021 NFL regular season.
Let’s dive into the Sunday night football Week 16 contest between the Washington Football Team and the Dallas Cowboys.
PLAYER PROPS
One of the easiest transitions into sports betting is through player props, as fantasy applications are helpful for evaluating betting opportunities.
One way to consistently find defined edges is by utilizing PFF's player props tool. The ability to adjust both number and price means you are always certain of the expected value for each prop bet.
Let’s dive into the best player props to bet for Sunday Night Football.
RB Ezekiel Elliott over 54.5 rushing yards (+110)
Tailing Elliott’s rushing yard props comes down to two things: efficiency and game script-based volume.
Elliott has enjoyed a resurgence in 2021, posting higher offensive grades and rushing grades this season than last season while averaging 14.4 carries per game – which, given an average workload, means he needs to average just 3.75 yards per attempt on Sunday night to cover his rushing yardage prop. For context, he averages 4.3 yards per attempt this season.
Given that Dallas is a massive 10-point favorite in this game, expect the Cowboys to get out to an early lead and then utilize a run-heavy approach to burn the clock and avoid relying too heavily on Dak Prescott. In fact, Washington has allowed the opposing team to score first in eight of 14 games this season and has trailed after the first quarter in nine of those games.
According to PFF’s player props tool, Elliott has a 52.9% chance to rush for at least 54 yards this week, which makes both of these great value bets.