NFL Anytime Touchdown Bets: De'Von Achane and Bijan Robinson among best Week 5 bets

• RB De'Von Achane, Miami Dolphins: Achane has begun to take far more of the load as a rusher and has taken 75% of the carries inside the opposition's 10-yard line over the past few weeks.

• RB Bijan Robinson, Atlanta Falcons: Robinson also has some serious equity as a red-zone receiver, where (in a small sample) he has earned a 25% target share. Robinson can score from anywhere on the field and will have a role as a runner and receiver in the red zone. In a great spot vs. Houston at +115, I’m buying Robinson to score.

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RB De'Von Achane, Miami Dolphins

• Achane has been an absolute revelation for the Dolphins and leads the league in rushing yards over expected (RYOE) by a wide margin.

• Perhaps even more striking is the expectation itself, as Achane’s holes are so big that he’s expected to generate nearly 11.25 yards per carry. That will likely not hold, but it should directionally remain.

• Achane has begun to take far more of the load as a rusher and has taken 75% of the carries inside the opposition's 10-yard line over the past few weeks.

• Attached to perhaps the game's best offense in a matchup against a lowly Giants team that is bottom-10 at stopping the run inside and outside the red zone, Achane is a terrific bet to find the paydirt this week.

RB Bijan Robinson, Atlanta Falcons

• Robinson has been one the most dynamic running backs in football this season. And while the season started as a timeshare for Atlanta's backs, Robinson has out-carried Allgeier 24-14 over the last couple of weeks.

• A matchup with the Texans is perhaps just what the doctor ordered for Robinson to punch in his first career rushing touchdowns. Teams are running against the Texans 12% more than expected in the red zone, likely due to the team's inability to stop the run. Through four weeks, Houston ranks dead-last in success rate allowed in the red zone.

• Robinson also has some serious equity as a red-zone receiver, where (in a small sample) he has earned a 25% target share. Robinson can score from anywhere on the field and will have a role as a runner and receiver in the red zone. In a great spot vs. Houston at +115, I’m buying Robinson to score.

WR Calvin Ridley, Jacksonville Jaguars

• Calvin Ridley has come eerily close to scoring every week. Between uncharacteristic end-zone drops and barely having one foot out of bounds, he's still yet to score.

• But perhaps Ridley is seeing so much opportunity because he has been a terrific separator in the red zone, where he ranks third in separation rate this season.

• Ridley has always been at his best against zone coverage, where his crafty route running shines. And after two matchups against man-heavy teams, Ridley finds himself against a Bills defense that plays primarily zone coverage.

• In zone coverage, Ridley has earned a 28% target share — 7% more than the next-highest Jags receiver. In a terrific scoring environment, look for Lawrence to target Ridley often, especially as they get into the red zone.