• Take the Cincinnati Bengals (-1): The Bengals' clear weak spot is their offensive line, but the Saints' pass rush has been dormant thus far.
• Bet the Dallas Cowboys (+5.5): While the Eagles offense is lethal, it has not been consistent. That opens the door for meager offenses to cover the spread.
• New users who bet $10 or more at BetMGM will receive a free year’s subscription to PFF+ — a $79.99 value.
Editor's Note: Betting lines are accurate as of post-Sunday Night Football.
Dallas Cowboys (+5.5) @ Philadelphia Eagles
Why to bet:
• We expect the Cowboys to roll with Cooper Rush at quarterback again this week. The Eagles have been very good en route to an undefeated record, but they also have some weakness on the left side of the offensive line. And the strength of the Cowboys is the pass rush from their front four. Dallas is the only team in the NFL with 100 quarterback pressures this season, and the unit does so without blitzing at a high rate.
• While the Eagles offense is lethal, it has not been consistent. The group ranks first in expected points added (EPA) per play in quarters one and two but 19th in the second half of games this season. This has allowed meager offenses to cover, such as the Arizona Cardinals this past week.
One reason to be wary:
• Rush is not nearly as good as Dak Prescott, and while the Cowboys are winning games, Rush has posted a PFF grade in the low 60.0s this far. If the Eagles jump out to a 14-point lead, he may not have the juice to get us through the backdoor.
© 2024 PFF - all rights reserved.