NFL Playoff Betting: Divisional-round player props, including Travis Kelce and Rachaad White

2RHYCYF Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce (87) salutes prior to an NFL preseason football game against the Arizona Cardinals, Saturday, Aug. 19, 2023, in Glendale, Ariz. (AP Photo/Rick Scuteri)

TE Isaiah Likely, Baltimore Ravens: Longest reception over 17.5 yards (-115).

TE Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs: Over 61.5 receiving yards (-114).

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TE Isaiah Likely, Baltimore Ravens: Longest reception over 17.5 yards (-115)

Since stepping in for injured starting tight end Mark Andrews, Likely has become a big part of the Baltimore offense. One of the areas where he adds value is in his downfield ability as a receiver. Since Week 14, he’s recorded at least one catch of 18-plus yards in every single game, including a game with Tyler Huntley at quarterback.

The weak part of this Texans pass defense is over the middle, and the Browns took full advantage of that last week, with David Njoku and Harrison Bryant each coming down with a catch of over 40 yards.

Tight ends have put up long catches on this Texans defense in recent weeks, with players such as Kylen Granson (23 yards), Chigoziem Okonkwo (21 yards) and Tyler Conklin (24 yards) surpassing this number.

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TE Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs: Over 61.5 receiving yards (-114)

The Bills are extremely banged up on defense and are down to their third-stringers at linebacker.

Kelce put up 71 yards last week, and it could have been even more had it not been for his three drops. In this big game, the Chiefs will likely funnel most of their targets to Kelce and Rashee Rice to maximize their offensive output.

While simply looking back at past games isn’t the only indicator of predicting success — especially since the Bills roster has changed — Kelce has gone over this line in five out of his last six games against Buffalo.

Travis Kelce: Recent performances against the Buffalo Bills
Season Week Targets Catches Yards Touchdowns Explosive plays (15+ yards)
2020 6 7 5 65 2 2
2020 CC 15 13 118 2 3
2021 5 9 6 57 1 1
2021 DR 9 8 96 1 2
2022 6 10 8 108 0 3
2023 14 8 6 83 0 2

RB Rachaad White, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Longest rush under 12.5 yards (+100)

The Bucs love to run the ball, but we saw Bucs offensive coordinator Dave Canales let QB Baker Mayfield cook last week. We could see a similar trend this week against the Lions defense that hasn’t allowed a 70-plus-yard rusher all year.

Less volume for White, plus the implied game script of the Bucs playing from behind, makes the under look good here.

The Lions run defense is very good and has allowed the second-fewest explosive rushes of 10-plus yards this season. The Lions will also welcome back interior defender Alim McNeill, which should be big against a Bucs rushing offense that loves to run right up the middle.

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