• RB Josh Jacobs, over 19.5 receiving yards:The Jets rank 31s in yards per route run allowed to running backs because the ball has to go somewhere, right? O’Connell has already shown a liking for his checkdown option, who will have the best matchup advantage in this game.
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Zach Wilson is set to take on Aidan O’Connell in prime time. What more could we possibly ask for?
Well, I have more bad news. The Jets are fourth in pass rush win rate this year, while the Raiders are 10th. And unfortunately, for the two starting quarterbacks, there are offensive line issues for both teams.
Left tackle Kolton Miller is listed as doubtful for the Raiders, so Justin Herron will likely see his first meaningful action of the season, having played just three snaps this season and only 24 last season. Fullback Jakob Johnson, who has played almost 200 snaps this year, is also missing from blocking duties.
As for the Jets, Mekhi Becton has managed to avoid an injury designation and will be good to go at left tackle, but right tackle Billy Turner has been ruled out with a finger injury. So, Dennis Kelly has been elevated from the practice squad, having not played a snap for any team since Week 18 of the 2022 season.
RB Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas Raiders: Over 19.5 Receiving Yards (-114 FanDuel) & 25+ Receiving Yards (+150 Caesars)
We're stacking some running back receiving lines in a favorable situation. The diminished pass-blocking abilities of the Raiders' offensive line will be tested against a high-end New York Jets pass rush, while the Jets are covered on the back end by one of if not the best secondary in the league.
The Raiders routed the Giants in O’Connell’s second start, thanks to turnovers from QB Tommy DeVito. The Raiders' first-year passer threw only 25 passes and accrued a 24-point lead by halftime, so the team let Josh Jacobs consistently run the ball to close out the game.
In O’Connell’s first start — in a much more competitive game against the Chargers — he threw 39 pass attempts, with Josh Jacobs the primary focus of that passing offense. It allowed the team to keep things simple for a rookie QB with pressure in his face. Jacobs caught eight of his 11 targets for 81 yards that day.
I doubt that the totals will quite match that day, but the Jets' pass defense is unbelievably good, and targeting the wide receivers and tight ends has been tough for every team that has faced them this year.
However,The Jets rank 31st in yards per route run allowed to running backs because the ball has to go somewhere, right? O’Connell has already shown a liking for his checkdown option, who will have the best matchup advantage in this game.
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