• Jameson Williams to burn the Los Angeles Rams for explosive gains? The Rams have allowed the second-highest depth of target in the NFL over the last six weeks, which plays right into the strengths of Williams and his role in the Lions offense.
• Jordan Love to pick apart the Dallas Cowboys defense en route to an upset victory? Further elevating Love's spot is a matchup against a Dallas defense that has lined up in man coverage at the second-highest rate in the NFL. And Love and Green Bay have enjoyed plenty of success against man coverage this season.
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Estimated Reading Time: 2 minutes
Story: Detroit Lions WR Jameson Williams burns the Los Angeles Rams for explosive gains
• Jameson Williams runs one of the deeper route trees of any receiver in the NFL while also maintaining one of the league's best separation rates. In other words, he gets open frequently and does so deep downfield.
• Meanwhile, the Rams have allowed the second-highest depth of target in the NFL over the last six weeks, which plays right into the strengths of Williams and his role in the offense.
• In addition to keeping his downfield role, the speedy pass-catcher has also emerged as a near-every-down player on this offense over the last month, having seen an 80%-plus route share. This should only increase on wild-card weekend, as the Lions could be without Kalif Raymond and Sam LaPorta.
• Williams is still priced for his early-season role, and markets don't seem to have accounted for the matchup or his change in role and usage.
SGP Build: 40-1
- QB Jared Goff, Detroit Lions: 300+ passing yards
- WR Jameson Williams: 95+ receiving yards
- WR Jameson Williams: Anytime TD
Story: Jordan Love picks apart the Dallas Cowboys defense en route to an upset victory
• We discussed the reason to be bullish on the Packers offense in our wild-card weekend matchup angles article.
• Further elevating this spot is a matchup against a Dallas defense that has lined up in man coverage at the second-highest rate in the NFL. And Love and Green Bay have enjoyed plenty of success against man coverage this season.
• Love has been terrific against zone coverages, but he has been even better against man coverage, where he ranks top-five in expected points added (EPA) per play against those man-to-man looks.
SGP Build: 45-1
- QB Jordan Love, Green Bay Packers: 325+ passing yards
- Green Bay Packers: -5.5
Story: Khalil Shakir steps up for the Buffalo Bills in Gabe Davis’ absence
• Khalil Shakir has absolutely dominated at the catch point and after the catch this season. And with veteran wide receiver Gabe Davis out, Shakir should see a full complement of the snaps, just as he did last week when Davis went out.
• With star interior lineman Cam Heyward healthy, the Steelers have operated as a major pass funnel, with opposing teams enjoying more success passing against them than running against them.
• Further, Joey Porter Jr. has been one of the NFL's best cornerbacks at preventing separation and has often followed opposing No. 1 receivers. On the margins, this should help to filter targets away from Stefon Diggs, and Shakir naturally stands to benefit.
SGP Build: 55-1
- QB Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills: 300+ yards Passing
- WR Khalil Shakir, Buffalo Bills: 95+ receiving yards
- WR Khalil Shakir, Buffalo Bills: Anytime TD
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