• Tommy DeVito and Jalin Hyatt set for a big game? The Saints have faced the fifth-highest average target depth this season (almost 8.5 yards) while also allowing the third-most separation of any defense.
• OBJ rounding into form: Since returning from injury, Odell Beckham Jr. ranks second in the NFL in target rate, third in separation and seventh in yards per route run. He appears to be finding his form at the right time of the season.
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Estimated reading time: 2 minutes
New York Giants quarterback Tommy DeVito leans on wide receiver Jalin Hyatt in the deep passing game
• The Saints have faced the fifth-highest average target depth this season (almost 8.5 yards) while also allowing the third-most separation of any defense.
• This defensive structure can be exposed by receivers who can win and generate separation downfield, which is precisely how Jalin Hyatt best operates.
• Hyatt ranks toward the top of the league in downfield separation, contested catches and wins after the catch.
• The Saints defense ranks last in the NFL in pressure rate, so DeVito should have plenty of time to avoid sacks — his Achilles heel — and throw to Hyatt downfield, where his skill set matches well with the Saints' deficiencies.
PointsBet SGP Build: 25-1
- QB Tommy DeVito, New York Giants: 250+ passing yards
- WR Jalin Hyatt, New York Giants: 65+ receiving yards
Story: Baltimore Ravens continue pass-heavy ways and lean on new WR1 Odell Beckham Jr.
• Since returning from injury, Odell Beckham Jr. ranks second in the NFL in target rate, third in separation and seventh in yards per route run. He appears to be finding his form at the right time of the season.
• The Jaguars' opponents have thrown 4% above expected against them this season. Only the 49ers and Eagles have faced more passes over expected.
• The Ravens have started to pass far more than expected and should be throwing far more often than the sample built into the current prices would indicate. Look for the Ravens to throw often and lean on their sneaky dominant Odell Beckham Jr in the process.
PointsBet SGP Build: 35-1
- QB Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens: 300+ passing yards
- WR Odell Beckham Jr., Baltimore Ravens: 95+ receiving yards
Story: Kansas City Chiefs QB Mahomes leans on Justin Watson vs. the man-coverage-heavy New England Patriots
• As we discussed in our matchups column, the Patriots love to blitz and play man coverage, situations in which Mahomes has excelled over his career.
• Justin Watson has been the most productive Chiefs receiver against man coverage, as he boasts the best PFF separation grade and the most yards per route run among his teammates in these situations.
• Further, the Patriots have been dominant against WR1s all season while remaining vulnerable to secondary receivers. Watson figures to see most of his snaps against J.C. Jackson, the lowest-graded cornerback in the NFL.
FanDuel SGP Build: +2060
- QB Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs: 300+ passing yards
- WR Justin Watson, Kansas City Chiefs: 70+ receiving yards
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