NFL Week 17 Player Prop Bets: Bijan Robinson, Rashid Shaheed and more

2TC4T6T Atlanta Falcons running back Bijan Robinson (7) celebrates a touchdown during the second half of an NFL football game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Sunday, Dec. 10, 2023, in Atlanta. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 29-25. (AP Photo/Danny Karnik)

RB Bijan Robinson, Atlanta Falcons over 21.5 receiving yards: The Chicago Bears defense has allowed 898 receiving yards to running backs this year, the most in the NFL, at an average of 59.9 yards a game.

WR Rashid Shaheed, New Orleans Saints longest reception over 17.5 yards: With Michael Thomas out, the target share for the Saints will be more concentrated around Chris Olave and Shaheed. The Bucs have allowed the most 20-plus-yard receptions in the NFL this season, and without cornerback Carlton Davis in this game, Shaheed will have opportunities to take advantage of a bad Bucs pass defense.

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Estimated reading time: 2 minutes

RB Bijan Robinson, Atlanta Falcons: Over 21.5 receiving yards (-110)

It seems that Robinson has finally been unleashed as the Falcons look to make the playoffs. The star rookie played 48 total snaps last week, while backup Tyler Allgeier played only 13. Robinson responded in the passing game, catching seven passes for 50 yards on a season-high 10 targets.

• The Chicago Bears defense has allowed 898 receiving yards to running backs this year, the most in the NFL, at an average of 59.9 yards a game. With the recent uptick in snaps and usage, paired with the great matchup against a Bears coverage unit that struggles against running backs, Robinson should see enough volume to go over this number.


QB Gardner Minshew, Indianapolis Colts: Over 0.5 interceptions (+120)

• The Raiders defense has played very well under interim head coach Antonio Pierce, and they’ve done a great job of forcing turnovers in the past seven weeks. They’ve forced a turnover-worthy play at the fourth-highest rate among all defenses this season.

• Gardner Minshew has filled in admirably for the Colts at quarterback but doesn't really play a mistake-free brand of football. He boasts the sixth-highest turnover-worthy play rate in the NFL this season, along with nine interceptions.

• The Raiders have also recorded an interception on defense in five of the seven games since Pierce took charge, and playing a quarterback who puts the ball in harm’s way should help that trend.

WR Rashid Shaheed, New Orleans Saints: Longest reception over 17.5 yards (-120)

• We’re going back to the well, targeting the Bucs pass defense as a team to pick on for opposing wide receivers. Whether or not their secondary has been healthy, they’ve repeatedly struggled to stop the pass, which will likely continue in this game.

• With Michael Thomas out, the target share for the Saints will be more concentrated around Chris Olave and Shaheed. The Bucs have allowed the most 20-plus-yard receptions in the NFL this season, and without cornerback Carlton Davis in this game, Shaheed will have opportunities to take advantage of a bad Bucs pass defense and be able to catch a pass longer than 18 yards.

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