Sunday Night Football Week 11: Vikings-Broncos betting preview (odds, lines, best bets)

• QB Russell Wilson, Denver Broncos — over 27.5 pass attempts: The Vikings' run defense has been excellent recently, so passing is the Broncos' most likely route to victory on Sunday night.

• WR Jerry Jeudy, Denver Broncos — over 41.5 receiving yards: In Jeudy's best matchup since Week 4, expect him to get the ball at a higher clip.

• Get $150 in bonus bets: New FanDuel customers who bet $5 or more receive $150 in bonus bets if their team wins, plus a profit boost token every day. Join FanDuel today!

Estimated Reading Time: 2 minutes

GAME OVERVIEW

It's back-to-back prime-time games for Russell Wilson and the Denver Broncos after they beat the Buffalo Bills with a walk-off field goal on Monday Night Football.

The Broncos have won three games on the bounce and now find themselves as a three-point home favorite against a team without its top wide receiver and its franchise quarterback. So, things are starting to look a lot better for Denver after starting the season 0-3 and giving up 70 points to the Miami Dolphins.

Despite the 1-4 start, the loss of starting quarterback Kirk Cousins for the season and the loss of star wide receiver Justin Jefferson to a long stretch on injured reserve, the Minnesota Vikings somehow find themselves at 6-4 and in the playoff picture. They have won three of their past four games as an underdog, a feat they will have to replicate here to come out with a win.

Vikings cornerback Akayleb Evans, who missed practice this week, is the only notable player on the injury report. As a result, Mekhi Blackmon will likely fill that role opposite Byron Murphy Jr.

**PFF's Best Bets Tool** uses PFF data to uncover the biggest edges in the betting market. Click here to see the best bets for this game.

QB Russell Wilson, Denver Broncos: Over 27.5 pass attempts (-109 Caesars)

We backed a similar bet ahead of Week 10 Monday Night Football, only the line was 29.5.

It ultimately landed on 29, with the final two offensive plays resulting in a sack and a defensive pass interference penalty that put Denver into game-winning field-goal range.

The market still overvalues the diminished passing volume of the Broncos' offense, even though they have played tough passing defenses recently.

However, Wilson's dropback numbers as of late have been high, except for the Chiefs game when the Broncos led from pillar to post.

The Vikings' run defense has been excellent recently and even held the San Francisco 49ers‘ rushing offense to just 65 yards on 22 carries, so passing is the Broncos' most likely route to victory on Sunday night.

QB Comparison

Quarterback	J. Dobbs	R. Wilson
PFF Grade	66.3	77.1
Passer Rating Clean	90.6	103.7
Passer Rating Under Pressure	72.4	105
Big-Time Throw %	1.73%	4.36%
Turnover-Worthy Play %	4.20%	2.62%
Power Rating	1	2
Power Rating Rank	19th	17th

WR Jerry Jeudy, Denver Broncos: Over 41.5 Receiving Yards (-114 FanDuel) & 50+ Receiving Yards (+128 FanDuel, +127 Caesars)

Jerry Jeudy has been dealing with a hip injury over the past week, but he practiced in full on Friday and will play against a Vikings secondary that is allowing the second-most yards per route run over expectation to opposing slot receivers.

While Jeudy may be falling behind Courtland Sutton in production and usage, he has secured at least three catches in seven of eight games while topping 50 yards in five of those contests. Denver's schedule has been a grind to this point for Jeudy, with two games against the Chiefs and one against the Jets, both of whom rank inside the top three in EPA per play and success rate allowed to opposing passing offenses. In Jeudy's best matchup since Week 4, expect him to get the ball at a higher clip.