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Best DFS stacks & blowup targets to target in Week 10 of the 2021 NFL season

Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Atlanta Falcons tight end Kyle Pitts (8) catches the football prior the game against the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

DFS success boils down to finding the highest-scoring fantasy football players at each position in a given week. With close to 20 playable options at quarterback and tight end, along with even more at the running back and wide receiver positions, it is a feat in itself to identify one position correctly.

To finish at the top of a DFS contest, you must hit on basically all skill positions and circumvent the randomness associated with selecting defenses. Doing all of this while also fitting under the confines of a salary cap makes DFS one of the most difficult setups to beat consistently, especially for large-field tournaments.


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SALARY-ADJUSTED FANTASY PERFORMANCE

One of the best ways to find value opportunities on a given slate is to start with the salary-adjusted expectation for all players. Because DraftKings has been around for over six years, we now have a worthwhile dataset of player salaries and their resulting fantasy performances. By figuring out the expectation based on each player’s salary and position, we can compare their salary-expected fantasy performance to PFF’s fantasy projections. Doing this highlights the best value plays based on salary.

Player Position Team DK Salary Salary Expectation Proj. Fantasy Pts Proj. Above Salary Expectation
D'Ernest Johnson HB CLV 4700 9.31 19.45 10.14
Tyler Johnson WR TB 3300 4.80 11.17 6.37
Najee Harris HB PIT 7900 19.41 24.87 5.46
Jared Cook TE LAC 3200 5.16 9.91 4.75
D.J. Moore WR CAR 6300 14.27 18.61 4.34
Hayden Hurst TE ATL 2800 3.90 7.72 3.82
Devin Singletary HB BUF 4700 9.31 12.95 3.64
Dan Arnold TE JAX 3500 6.11 9.63 3.52
Mike Evans WR TB 6900 16.17 19.63 3.46
James Washington WR PIT 3500 5.44 8.88 3.44
Jonnu Smith TE NE 2500 2.95 6.27 3.32
Tyler Conklin TE MIN 3400 5.79 9.09 3.30
Jarvis Landry WR CLV 5200 10.80 14.09 3.29
Jakobi Meyers WR NE 4800 9.54 12.81 3.27
Kyle Pitts TE ATL 5800 13.37 16.55 3.18
Amari Cooper WR DAL 6200 13.96 17.05 3.09
James Conner HB ARZ 6300 14.36 17.35 2.99

PASS-CATCHING BLOWUP MODEL

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