Super Bowl probabilities for all four remaining NFL teams

2WA0EEW Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) runs against Miami Dolphins defensive tackle Zach Sieler (92) during the second half of an NFL football game in Baltimore, Sunday, Dec. 31, 2023. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke)

• The Ravens are out in front in the AFC: The Ravens are projected to go to the Super Bowl 58% of the time, according to PFF's power rankings.

• The 49ers are heavily favored to take the NFC crown: The 49ers win the NFC championship 63% of the time in PFF's simulations.

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Estimated reading time: 4 minutes

Team Proj. Win Conf Champ (%) Proj. Win Super Bowl (%)
Baltimore Ravens 57.97 32.71
San Francisco 49ers 63.42 29.65
Kansas City Chiefs 42.03 22.98
Detroit Lions 36.58 14.66

Baltimore Ravens: 33% to win Super Bowl

  • The Ravens are projected to go to the Super Bowl 58% of the time.
  • They have played the 11th-easiest schedule to date.

San Francisco 49ers: 30% to win Super Bowl

  • The 49ers are projected to go to the Super Bowl 63% of the time.
  • They have played the ninth-easiest schedule to date. 

Kansas City Chiefs: 23% to win Super Bowl

  • The Chiefs are projected to go to the Super Bowl 42% of the time.
  • They have played the ninth-hardest schedule to date.

Detroit Lions: 15% to win Super Bowl

  • The Lions are projected to go to the Super Bowl 37% of the time.
  • They have played the 15th-hardest schedule to date.
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