PFF Analysts

Timo Riske

Senior Data Scientist • View all analysts

Recent Articles

nfl-week-11-winners-losers-notable-performances-pff

Dallas Cowboys CB Trevon Diggs held his own against Minnesota's Justin Jefferson in Week 11, while Bengals pass-rusher Trey Hendrickson decidedly won his matchup against Pittsburgh Steelers tackle Dan Moore Jr.

By Timo Riske Nov 22, 2022 2:08 pm EST
nfl-playoff-picture-week-11-san-francisco-49ers

According to PFF's model, the San Francisco 49ers have an 88% chance of making the playoffs with a Week 11 win. Their chances fall to 60% with a loss.

By Timo Riske Nov 17, 2022 8:30 am EST
nfl-week-10-mvp-predictions-patrick-mahomes-josh-allen-jalen-hurts-tua-tagovailoa

Predicting the 2022 NFL MVP after Week 10 of the season. Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts were firmly in the race, but Tua Tagovailoa has now joined the conversation after a number of incredibly efficient performances.

By Timo Riske Nov 16, 2022 6:30 am EST
nfl-week-10-winners-losers-notable-performances-pff

Every NFL game contains individual matchups, with Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson and Green Bay Packers linebacker Quay Walker among those to come out on top in Week 10.

By Timo Riske Nov 15, 2022 9:45 am EST
bet-nfl-week-10-best-sunday-spread-picks-predictions-vikings

Timo Riske's favorite underdog bets in Week 10 include the Minnesota Vikings +3.5 at Buffalo Bills.

By Timo Riske Nov 11, 2022 12:41 pm EST
nfl-playoff-picture-week-10

According to PFF's model, the Miami Dolphins have an 85% chance of making the playoffs with a Week 10 win. Their chances fall to 59% with a loss.

By Timo Riske Nov 10, 2022 8:15 am EST
nfl-week-10-mvp-predictions-patrick-mahomes-josh-allen-jalen-hurts

Predicting the 2022 NFL MVP after Week 9 of the season.

By Timo Riske Nov 9, 2022 8:25 am EST
nfl-playoff-picture-week-9

According to PFF's model, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a 70% chance of making the playoffs if they beat the Los Angeles Rams in Week 9. Those chances fall to 45% with a loss. 

By Timo Riske Nov 3, 2022 10:30 am EDT
nfl-week-9-mvp-predictions-patrick-mahomes-josh-allen-jalen-hurts

Predicting the 2022 NFL MVP after Week 8 of the season. As long as he can avoid bad games, the MVP Award is Josh Allen's to lose.

By Timo Riske Nov 2, 2022 6:00 am EDT
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In his Week 8 live underdog column, Timo Riske is betting on the Los Angeles Rams vs the San Francisco 49ers in what could be the defending champs' last chance to prove they're contenders again.

By Timo Riske Oct 27, 2022 10:27 am EDT
nfl-playoff-picture-week-8

According to PFF's model, the Green Bay Packers and San Francisco 49ers enter Week 8 with less than a 50% chance of making the postseason. But both teams would radically improve their odds with a win.

By Timo Riske Oct 27, 2022 6:30 am EDT
nfl-week-8-mvp-favorites-patrick-mahomes-josh-allen-jalen-hurts

Patrick Mahomes did all that he possibly could have done in order to strengthen his MVP candidacy. Statistically, he had the most efficient game of the 2022 season, generating 0.82 expected points added (EPA) per passing play against the league's best defense in Week 7.

By Timo Riske Oct 26, 2022 6:00 am EDT
bet-nfl-best-underdog-bets-nfl-week-7-browns-ravens

In Week 7, Timo Riske's favorite underdog bets include the Cleveland Browns +6.5 at Baltimore Ravens.

By Timo Riske Oct 20, 2022 9:24 am EDT
NFL
Premium Content
nfl-week-7-mvp-award-josh-allen-patrick-mahomes-jalen-hurts

More than a third of all regular season games have now been played, and it looks as though there are only three quarterbacks remaining in the MVP race: Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts.

By Timo Riske Oct 19, 2022 6:45 am EDT
nfl-week-6-best-underdog-bets-including-chiefs-3-vs-bills

Among Timo Riske's favorite Week 6 underdog bets: Patrick Mahomes and Co. Getting points. At home. Buffalo is the best team in football, but this is a rare opportunity.

By Timo Riske Oct 14, 2022 8:20 am EDT
NFL
Premium Content
nfl-2022-nfl-mvp-award-odds-josh-allen-lamar-jackson-jalen-hurts-patrick-mahomes

Week 5 of the 2022 NFL season all but confirmed that the MVP Award will come down to a competition between Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Lamar Jackson.

By Timo Riske Oct 12, 2022 6:00 am EDT
nfl-betting-2022-5-live-dogs-in-week-5

In his first weekly column highlighting 5 live underdogs, Timo Riske writes that it makes sense to ride with the Bengals +3 at Baltimore in a high-variance spot between two inconsistent offenses in Week 5.

By Timo Riske Oct 5, 2022 2:04 pm EDT
NFL
Premium Content
nfl-2022-nfl-mvp-patrick-mahomes-josh-allen-jalen-hurts-lamar-jackson-justin-herbert-week-5

Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes has overtaken Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen as the MVP favorite after Week 4 of the 2022 NFL season, while Los Angeles Chargers QB Justin Herbert leaps to No. 5.

By Timo Riske Oct 5, 2022 7:02 am EDT
NFL
Premium Content
nfl-adjusting-pass-blocking-and-pass-rush-grades-for-difficulty-of-assignment-rise

Timo Riske evaluates how accurate pass-blocking and pass-rushing grades are compared to the difficulty of players' assignments.

By Timo Riske Oct 4, 2022 2:00 pm EDT
NFL
Premium Content
nfl-2022-nfl-mvp-josh-allen-jalen-hurts-lamar-jackson-tua-tagovailoa

Josh Allen continues at No. 1 in PFF's MVP simulation after Week 3 of the 2022 NFL season, but Lamar Jackson and Jalen Hurts are gaining ground.

By Timo Riske Sep 28, 2022 7:00 am EDT
Bio

Timo Riske is a mathematician and American football enthusiast. He joined PFF in 2019 as a Data Scientist from Germany and will tell you the odds.

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