Timo Riske's favorite underdog bets in Week 10 include the Minnesota Vikings +3.5 at Buffalo Bills.

According to PFF's model, the Miami Dolphins have an 85% chance of making the playoffs with a Week 10 win. Their chances fall to 59% with a loss.

Predicting the 2022 NFL MVP after Week 9 of the season.

According to PFF's model, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a 70% chance of making the playoffs if they beat the Los Angeles Rams in Week 9. Those chances fall to 45% with a loss. 

Predicting the 2022 NFL MVP after Week 8 of the season. As long as he can avoid bad games, the MVP Award is Josh Allen's to lose.

In his Week 8 live underdog column, Timo Riske is betting on the Los Angeles Rams vs the San Francisco 49ers in what could be the defending champs' last chance to prove they're contenders again.

According to PFF's model, the Green Bay Packers and San Francisco 49ers enter Week 8 with less than a 50% chance of making the postseason. But both teams would radically improve their odds with a win.

Patrick Mahomes did all that he possibly could have done in order to strengthen his MVP candidacy. Statistically, he had the most efficient game of the 2022 season, generating 0.82 expected points added (EPA) per passing play against the league's best defense in Week 7.

In Week 7, Timo Riske's favorite underdog bets include the Cleveland Browns +6.5 at Baltimore Ravens.

More than a third of all regular season games have now been played, and it looks as though there are only three quarterbacks remaining in the MVP race: Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts.

Among Timo Riske's favorite Week 6 underdog bets: Patrick Mahomes and Co. Getting points. At home. Buffalo is the best team in football, but this is a rare opportunity.

Week 5 of the 2022 NFL season all but confirmed that the MVP Award will come down to a competition between Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Lamar Jackson.

In his first weekly column highlighting 5 live underdogs, Timo Riske writes that it makes sense to ride with the Bengals +3 at Baltimore in a high-variance spot between two inconsistent offenses in Week 5.

Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes has overtaken Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen as the MVP favorite after Week 4 of the 2022 NFL season, while Los Angeles Chargers QB Justin Herbert leaps to No. 5.

Timo Riske evaluates how accurate pass-blocking and pass-rushing grades are compared to the difficulty of players' assignments.

Josh Allen continues at No. 1 in PFF's MVP simulation after Week 3 of the 2022 NFL season, but Lamar Jackson and Jalen Hurts are gaining ground.

Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen leapfrogs Patrick Mahomes for the No. 1 spot in PFF's MVP simulation after Week 2 of the 2022 NFL season.

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes maintains his No. 1 ranking in PFF's MVP simulation after Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season.

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes enters the 2022 NFL season as the MVP favorite in PFF's simulation.

PFF's expansion of the route-running and coverage grading process in 2019 opened the door for new insights into how we can view success for receivers and coverage defenders.