PFF Analysts

Timo Riske

Senior Data Scientist • View all analysts

Recent Articles

NFL
Premium Content
draft-riske-how-to-identify-future-success-via-a-good-nfl-draft

PFF data scientist Timo Riske looks at ways to evaluate draft classes.

By Timo Riske May 7, 2021 6:45 am EDT
College & Draft
Premium Content
draft-investigating-the-steals-and-reaches-in-the-2021-nfl-draft

The so-called "steals" and "reaches" often dominate the conversation about the NFL draft, and they often heavily influence draft grades. The question, of course, is how much stock should we put into these two words?

By Timo Riske May 5, 2021 9:45 am EDT
NFL
Premium Content
draft-2021-nfl-draft-a-look-into-how-nfl-teams-spent-their-draft-capital

Positional value is a very complex topic, especially when it comes to the NFL draft, but it looks as though NFL teams are finally catching on and focusing draft capital on the most valuable positions on the football field.

By Timo Riske May 4, 2021 8:15 am EDT
College & Draft
Premium Content
draft-2021-nfl-draft-timo-riske-forecasting-the-draft

PFF's Timo Riske looks back at the 2021 NFL Draft to see just how close the public got to predicting what would happen.

By Timo Riske May 3, 2021 10:00 am EDT
College & Draft
Premium Content
draft-2021-nfl-draft-analyzing-grading-day-1-first-round-trades

Three trades went down on Day 1 of the 2021 NFL Draft, and PFF's Timo Riske delves into each one to determine the winners and losers based on the value of the swapped picks.

By Timo Riske Apr 30, 2021 8:25 am EDT
draft-pff-mock-draft-simulator-trades-picks-value-2021-nfl-draft

PFF's Timo Riske uses data taken from the PFF Mock Draft Simulator to examine the most popular board settings, round settings, player-team pairings and trade scenarios to get an idea of how the public wants the 2021 NFL Draft to unfold.

By Timo Riske Apr 29, 2021 7:00 am EDT
College & Draft
Premium Content
draft-pff-data-study-breaking-down-every-nfl-teams-draft-capital-jacksonville-jaguars

Timo Riske takes a look at what every NFL team has to work with in the 2021 NFL Draft. The Jacksonville Jaguars have a better chance than not to have a top-six draft, while things don't look quite as rosy for the Seattle Seahawks.

By Timo Riske Apr 28, 2021 8:15 am EDT
College & Draft
Premium Content
draft-prospects-declined-final-college-season-2021-nfl-draft-class

PFF's Timo Riske takes a deeper look into prospects who declined in their final year in college football, investigating whether it can tell us anything about players from the 2021 NFL Draft class.

By Timo Riske Apr 27, 2021 7:00 am EDT
College & Draft
Premium Content
draft-pff-data-study-can-the-consensus-big-board-really-predict-the-2021-nfl-draft

Data scientist Timo Riske compares players' actual draft position to their ranking on past consensus big boards to see whether the draft big boards hold any predictive power.

By Timo Riske Apr 26, 2021 11:45 am EDT
College & Draft
Premium Content
draft-2021-nfl-draft-one-year-wonders-mac-jones-jamarr-chase-penei-sewell-joe-tryon-caleb-farley

Using PFF metrics to investigate the "one-year wonders" in the 2021 NFL Draft class and whether these players are generally drafted too high, too low or at precisely the right spot.

By Timo Riske and Steve Palazzolo Apr 22, 2021 8:30 am EDT
College & Draft
Premium Content
draft-2021-nfl-draft-a-new-way-to-analyze-draft-trades

Data scientist Timo Riske looks into a new way of valuing draft trades.

By Timo Riske Apr 21, 2021 6:00 am EDT
College & Draft
Premium Content
draft-2021-nfl-draft-why-trading-up-doesnt-work-out-for-most-nfl-teams

PFF data scientist Timo Riske looks at NFL drafts from 2011 to 2018 to investigate how successful teams were at trading up.

By Timo Riske Apr 14, 2021 10:00 am EDT
College & Draft
Premium Content
draft-2021-nfl-draft-consensus-big-boards-biased

PFF's Timo Riske takes to the consensus big boards to see if they hold any predictive power over the NFL draft. The results are positive for the incoming offensive tackle and wide receiver class, two of the strongest position groups in the 2021 NFL Draft.

By Timo Riske Apr 13, 2021 8:45 am EDT
College & Draft
Premium Content
draft-2021-nfl-draft-measuring-positional-draft-success-for-every-nfl-team

Yesterday we looked at how teams have allocated their draft capital toward different positions, so today we want to proceed by investigating which NFL teams have hit on their draft picks at every position.

By Timo Riske Apr 8, 2021 8:45 am EDT
College & Draft
Premium Content
draft-2021-nfl-draft-investigating-past-draft-success-and-what-it-means-for-the-2021-draft-class

PFF's Timo Riske compares past draft allocation to the 2021 draft class to see whether it will fit the teams’ habits.

By Timo Riske Apr 7, 2021 7:15 am EDT
NFL
Premium Content
nfl-investigating-positional-aging-curves-with-pff-war

PFF data scientist Timo Riske looks at how fast the average NFL player ages and how it varies through different positions.

By Timo Riske Mar 22, 2021 9:45 am EDT
nfl-free-agency-2021-the-best-and-worst-deals-so-far

PFF's Timo Riske looks back at the first wave of 2021 NFL free agency and details his favorite and least favorite moves so far.

By Timo Riske Mar 18, 2021 8:00 am EDT
nfl-examining-the-ravens-overtime-proposal

PFF data scientist Timo Riske dives into the intricacies of the Ravens' spot-and-choose proposal, explaining how and why it works as well as taking a deeper dive into the game theory behind it.

By Timo Riske Mar 10, 2021 6:00 am EST
nfl-historical-draft-success-for-all-32-nfl-teams

With the 2021 NFL Draft now just over two months away, PFF looks back over the last four years to identify the teams that have had the most successful drafts.

By Timo Riske Feb 25, 2021 11:00 am EST
NFL
Premium Content
nfl-indianapolis-colts-trade-carson-wentz-2021

The recent trade for Carson Wentz has hamstrung the Indianapolis Colts into building around a quarterback who might not be salvageable. PFF's Timo Riske examines the risk and limited reward that comes with last week's trade.

By Timo Riske Feb 22, 2021 10:30 am EST Indianapolis Colts
Bio

Timo Riske is a mathematician and American football enthusiast. He joined PFF in 2019 as a Data Scientist from Germany and will tell you the odds.

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