PFF Analysts

Timo Riske

Senior Data Scientist • View all analysts

Recent Articles

NFL
Premium Content
nfl-the-perfect-timing-a-deeper-dive-into-time-to-throw-data

PFF's Timo Riske presents a new way of evaluating players by using PFF's time to throw data.

By Timo Riske Jun 18, 2020 11:00 am EDT
NFL
Premium Content
bet-nfl-2020-nfl-mvp-betting-matt-ryan-drew-brees-and-aaron-rodgers-top-betting-odds

PFF looks at its 2020 NFL projections alongside the current 2020 NFL MVP betting odds to see which quarterbacks yield the best value on the betting market right now.

By Timo Riske Jun 3, 2020 9:45 am EDT
NFL
Premium Content
nfl-beyond-the-sticks-a-more-nuanced-way-of-quantifying-quarterback-decisions

PFF's Timo Riske unveils a new QB metric and presents the NFL's best and worst quarterbacks when it comes to moving the chains.

By Timo Riske May 28, 2020 9:15 am EDT
Betting
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bet-2020-nfl-win-totals-baltimore-ravens-under-11-5-wins

The Baltimore Ravens' preseason over/under win total checked in at 11.5 wins, so Timo Riske looked at the PFF data and found a number of reasons why the under is the right bet to make.

By Timo Riske May 13, 2020 12:00 pm EDT
NFL
Premium Content
nfl-pff-data-study-tampa-bay-buccaneers-kicking-woes-elliott-fry

The Buccaneers' kicking issue has become so bad that you could actually say that it matters. And when you are that concerned about your kicking game, it might be the perfect time to follow analytical conclusions and just attempt fewer field goals.

By Timo Riske May 7, 2020 1:00 pm EDT
College & Draft
Premium Content
draft-examining-the-trade-market-with-2020-nfl-draft-trades

In recent years, we have seen more and more trades that deviated from the market set by the Jimmy Johnson chart. So PFF sets out to investigate the trades made throughout the 2020 NFL Draft to find out whether or not teams still use this chart. 

By Timo Riske Apr 30, 2020 9:00 am EDT
College & Draft
Premium Content
draft-2020-nfl-draft-what-the-draft-tells-about-the-nfls-perception-of-positional-value

PFF looks at how teams tend to spend there their draft picks in order to gain an insight into league-wide trends and its stance on positional value.

By Timo Riske Apr 29, 2020 1:20 pm EDT
College & Draft
Premium Content
draft-2020-nfl-draft-quick-reaction-to-all-day-1-trades

The first round of the 2020 NFL Draft didn't see its first trade until pick No. 13, but the trade market picked up steam later in the first round with three additional trades. Here are our grades for the respective moves.

By Timo Riske Apr 24, 2020 1:45 pm EDT
draft-using-pffs-mock-draft-simulator-to-gauge-the-publics-view-of-the-2020-nfl-draft

PFF's Timo Riske uses data taken from the PFF Mock Draft Simulator to examine the most popular board settings, round settings, player-team pairings and trade scenarios to get an idea of how the public wants the 2020 NFL Draft to unfold.

By Timo Riske Apr 23, 2020 10:30 am EDT
NFL
Premium Content
draft-2020-nfl-draft-investigating-spectacular-past-draft-trades-from-an-analytical-perspective

Timo Riske uses PFF's draft-trade simulator to examine five big-impact draft-day trades, from the Chiefs moving up for Patrick Mahomes to the Bills trading up for Sammy Watkins to the New Orleans Saints giving away nearly everything for running back Ricky Williams.

By Timo Riske Apr 20, 2020 11:20 am EDT
draft-how-simulating-the-draft-and-pff-war-projections-can-forecast-steals-and-reaches

PFF's Timo Riske uses the PFF Mock Draft Simulator to forecast which NFL teams get the most out of their NFL draft capital, which teams come away with draft steals and which teams reach for overrated talent.

By Timo Riske Apr 15, 2020 12:39 pm EDT
draft-pffs-mock-draft-simulator-is-live

PFF has just launched its Mock Draft Simulator. Choose your NFL team, trade up, down, receive a grade for your work and share your draft haul on social media. The PFF Mock Draft Simulator is the perfect way to prepare for the NFL Draft.

By Timo Riske Apr 9, 2020 7:45 am EDT
NFL
Premium Content
nfl-why-winning-the-offseason-can-be-a-fallacy

Signing top players in NFL free agency can be misleading, as even good players generally regress to the mean. This effect is amplified when a player switches teams, which is why teams that "win the offseason" aren't always sure bets.

By Timo Riske Mar 23, 2020 7:00 am EDT
tom-brady-is-a-better-fit-in-the-tampa-bay-buccaneers-scheme-than-you-might-think

Bruce Arians needs a quarterback who plays to his system’s strengths. Tom Brady needs playmakers to unleash his full potential one last time.

By Timo Riske Mar 17, 2020 3:46 pm EDT
NFL
Premium Content
nfl-investigating-how-past-performance-matters-for-the-future

In this article, we want to examine how the most recent season compares to the career production of a player in terms of importance when looking at potential player acquisitions, whether they be in NFL free agency or the NFL draft.

By Timo Riske Mar 17, 2020 9:00 am EDT
College & Draft
Premium Content
draft-investigating-positional-tiers-ahead-of-the-2020-nfl-draft

The PFF data suggests that it might be useful to put prospects into tiers instead of a board with ordinal rankings to better evaluate the talent in the 2020 NFL Draft.

By Timo Riske Mar 12, 2020 11:30 am EDT
NFL
Premium Content
nfl-investigating-the-individual-draft-success-of-every-nfl-team

Which team has drafted the best since 2006? Who was the most consistent? Which team found the most draft gems? Which team drafted the most busts? All this and more is answered in PFF's latest data study.

By Timo Riske Mar 6, 2020 9:01 am EST
NFL
Premium Content
nfl-revisiting-the-losers-curse-the-surplus-value-of-draft-picks

We revisit Massey’s and Thaler’s research with the PFF WAR draft chart using the salary cost of each draft pick based on the rookie wage scale in the current CBA.

By Timo Riske Mar 3, 2020 11:45 am EST
NFL
Premium Content
nfl-investigating-learning-curves-from-college-football-to-the-nfl

PFF looks to investigate whether the shape of the learning curve from college to the NFL changes when looking at different positions or different draft positions.

By Timo Riske Feb 24, 2020 12:30 pm EST
College & Draft
Premium Content
draft-investigating-historical-draft-success-at-defensive-positions

PFF data scientist Timo Riske continues his study on historical draft success, this time focusing on every position on the defensive side of the ball.

By Timo Riske Feb 21, 2020 9:26 am EST
Bio

Timo Riske is a mathematician and American football enthusiast. He joined PFF in 2019 as a Data Scientist from Germany and will tell you the odds.

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