NFL Week 4 Betting: Five best PrizePicks plays

2MNM4A8 Dallas Cowboys running back Tony Pollard (20) during an NFL divisional round playoff football game against the San Francisco 49ers in Santa Clara, Calif., Sunday, Jan. 22, 2023. (AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vasquez)

• Bet Zach Wilson's struggles to continue: The under on his 174.5 passing yardage prop is enticing in a game where he could get benched if things get ugly.

• Bet C.J. Stroud to throw his first interception: He has a matchup against a dominant Steelers defense that already has eight takeaways this season.

• Bet $5 and get $200 in guaranteed bonus bets! Click here to sign up with FanDuel.

Estimated Reading Time: 2 minutes


If you have never played PrizePicks, you are in for a treat. You choose two or more players from the board and whether they go over or under their projected fantasy score or single stat. The payout increases with each leg added, similar to a parlay bet.

For each week of the 2023 NFL season, we'll be making a list of our six favorite picks. You can take these picks and make a two-, three-, four-, five- or six-leg entry. Let’s get started ahead of Week 4.

My picks went six-for-six in Week 3, so let’s see if we can keep the ball rolling.

Tony Pollard over 0.5 TDs (Rushing, Receiving and Passing)

The Cowboys need to bounce back after a bad loss to the Cardinals in Week 3. Tony Pollard leads the league in touches, but Dallas has struggled to score six when in the red zone (27th in red-zone touchdown efficiency).

I like this as a get-right spot for Pollard and the Cowboys' offense — despite the tough matchup against the Patriots' defense.


C.J. Stroud over 0.5 INTs

Stroud set a record for the most pass attempts to begin the first three games of an NFL career without a pick in Week 3. Now he has a matchup against a dominant Steelers defense that already has eight takeaways this season.


Stefon Diggs + Dalton Kincaid over 0.5 TDs (combination of rushing and receiving)

This is a combo pick, and we just need either Stefon Diggs or Dalton Kincaid to find paydirt. Diggs has scored a touchdown in more than half of his meetings versus the Dolphins, and with a total set at 54, I expect plenty of scoring opportunities for these two.


Trevor Lawrence over 1.5 passing TDs

Trevor Lawrence’s season has not gone to plan so far, with the Jaguars sitting at 1-2 after a loss to the Texans in Week 3. Despite the record, it’s not all on Lawrence. He is currently PFF's third-highest-graded quarterback, ranks second in big-time throws and leads the league in dropped passes.

Look for Lawrence and the Jaguars to get back on track this week.


Zach Wilson under 174.5 passing yards

There has been a lot of scrutiny surrounding the Jets since Aaron Rodgers went down. The latest report via ESPN's Rich Cimini is that the defense is not pleased with head coach Robert Saleh's support of Wilson amid the early-season struggles.

Tim Boyle may even get a chance to play in primetime versus the Chiefs, who we just saw build a 41-0 lead against the Bears in Week 3.

Betting Featured Tools
  • PFF's Best Bets Tool reveals the bets PFF's data and algorithms give the biggest edge to within spread, total, player prop, and moneyline markets.

    Available with

  • Power Rankings are PFF’s NFL power ratings based on weekly player grades in each facet of play. These power rankings are adjusted based on coach, quarterback and the market each season.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NFL game.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NCAA game.

    Available with

Subscriptions

Unlock the 2024 Fantasy Draft Kit, with Live Draft Assistant, Fantasy Mock Draft Sim, Rankings & PFF Grades

$24.99/mo
OR
$119.99/yr