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Super Bowl probabilities for all four remaining NFL teams

2YK98W8 Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen reacts during the second half of an NFL football game against the Kansas City Chiefs Sunday, Nov. 17, 2024, in Orchard Park, N.Y. (AP Photo/Julia Demaree Nikhinson)

• The Eagles are favorites to win it all: The Eagles win Super Bowl 59 in 35% of our simulations, the highest rate among the remaining teams.

• Never count the Chiefs out: The Chiefs take the AFC in 54.0% of our simulations and hoist the Lombardi Trophy 26% of the time.

• Dig into the numbers for yourself: PFF's Premium Stats is the most in-depth collection of NFL and NCAA player performance data. Subscribe today to get full access!

Estimated reading time: 4 minutes

With four teams left standing in the NFL playoffs, the race to Super Bowl glory is heating up.

Using PFF's game simulation, run thousands of times to account for every scenario, we break down each team’s chances of going the distance. From conference championship odds to Super Bowl odds and even the relative difficulty of each team’s schedule so far (1st is hardest, 32nd easiest), here’s how the contenders stack up as they push toward the biggest stage in football.

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