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Fantasy Football IDP: Analytics strengths and weaknesses for the top 2025 rookie edge defenders

2S3HD3E MIAMI GARDENS, FL - JANUARY 09: Edge Rusher Abdul Carter #11 of the Penn State Nittany Lions reacts after a defensive stop during the Penn State Nittany Lions versus Notre Dame Fighting Irish College Football Playoff Semifinal at the Capital One Orange Bowl on January 9, 2025, at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Icon Sportswire) (Icon Sportswire via AP Images)

  • Abdul Carter offers an elite profile: With little concern for Carter’s prospect profile, he is already on a path to be considered an immediate impact player at the next level.
  • Shemar Stewart and Mykel Williams‘ concerns: Both players offer strong athletic profiles, but as pass-rushers, they are far from finished products and have no guarantees of improving in the NFL.
  • 2025 NFL Draft season is here: Try PFF's best-in-class Mock Draft Simulator and learn about 2025's top prospects while trading and drafting for your favorite NFL team.

Estimated reading time: 9 minutes


With the NFL draft right around the corner, there has been a significant amount of excitement surrounding this year’s edge defender class, specifically at the top. With several first-round defenders coming out this year, it’s worth diving into their production numbers from college to see how their analytical profiles compare to prospects of years past.

  • Overall percentile rank references all prospects included in the rookie edge defender model, which takes into account a player’s career college production and metrics to create a score-based guidance system to understand who these players are and what we can expect from them for fantasy. 
  • This model includes all 324 EDGE prospects since 2016.
  • Strengths are considered production data points where a particular EDGE scored the highest in comparison to the prospect pool dating back to 2016.
  • Weaknesses are the areas where a particular EDGE scored much lower relative to their strengths and when compared to the prospect pool since 2016.
  • This article will be a spotlight on the top-five consensus edge defenders right now.

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ABDUL CARTER, PENN STATE

Carter’s career college analytics strengths:
MetricValueRank among EDGE prospects since 2016
Career PFF pass-rush grade92.494th percentile
Career pass-rush win rate21.2%95th percentile
Career pressure rate20.1%98th percentile
Career quick pressure rate17.8%99th percentile

As a pass-rusher, Carter is everything we could ask a prospect to be coming out of college, posting elite marks in every key pass-rushing metric. This resulted in a very high 4.7% sack rate for his college career, leading to 25 sacks. Those sack totals would not be possible on fewer than 550 pass-rush snaps without Carter being as effective and consistent as he was throughout his college career. 


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