If the Houston offense is as good as our thesis presents, I’d be happy to take the points and combine that with Stroud yards, with those two options deeply correlated and certainly more correlated than the market suggests.

Detroit's Jahmyr Gibbs and Washinton's Brian Robinson are among the best anytime touchdown bets for Thanksgiving Day.

The best same-game parlays for Week 11, including a bet on the Justin Fields-led Chicago Bears.

With a healthy Stafford, the Rams will want to air it out in a game that could become a shootout. I’m happy to lay the points and bet on Stafford to outduel Geno Smith and the Seahawks.

The market is expecting the Jets to slow down the Bills relative to the Bills' median outcomes. But the Jets' defensive matchup advantage is slightly mitigated, as Allen can extend plays enough to avoid sacks and break the perfect coverage and also use his legs to scramble for positive yards.

Three anytime touchdown bets for Week 11, including De'Von Achane and D'Andre Swift.

The best same-game parlays for Week 10, including a bet on the Kyler Murray-led Arizona Cardinals.

The best anytime touchdown bets for NFL Week 10, including Austin Ekeler, Alvin Kamara and Dalton Schultz.

Stroud will have a terrific matchup against a Bengals defense that has allowed explosive passing plays of 15 or more yards at the third-highest rate in the NFL.

Given New England’s pass-funnel nature, both volume and efficiency should be on the Colts' side, making it an attractive spot to back them.

The matchup lends itself perfectly for the Texans, as the Buccaneers have allowed the sixth-highest rate of explosive plays. Further, teams pass against them 5% more than expected because they are far better against the run than the pass.

The best same-game parlays for Week 9, including a bet on the Washington Commanders to rack up passing yards against the New England Patriots.

The best same-game parlay for one of the games of the week.

If the Seahawks are going to win, it is going to come through the air, where their prices are pushed down by virtue of a matchup that contains more uncertainty than the market assumes.

The best anytime touchdown bets for NFL Week 9, including Travis Kelce and Zack Moss.

Matchup angles to bet for NFL Week 8, including the Dolphins receivers against the New England Patriots cornerbacks.

The best same-game parlays for NFL Week 8, including a bet that has Tyrod Taylor and Jalin Hyatt taking the top off the New York Jets secondary.

The market seems to be pricing the Steelers offense at a premium, which is a mistake, given the structural and schematic issues. The matchup sets up perfectly for the Jaguars — bet on them to win by a margin and on Lawrence to lead the way.

The best anytime touchdown bets for NFL Week 8, including Cooper Kupp, Chuba Hubbard and Jayden Reed.

Matchup angles to bet for NFL Week 7, including the Dolphins receivers against the Eagles cornerbacks.